Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | YALE -300 COR +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +18 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -9.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -11.1 (+6.9) | 152.6 (-18.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -8.4 (+9.6) | 149.9 (-15.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -10.4 (+7.6) | 153.6 (-19.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -9.7 (+8.3) | 155.0 (-21.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | YALE 88 – 76 COR |
| Feb 27, 2026 | COR 72 – 69 YALE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | YALE 102 – 68 COR |
| Mar 16, 2025 | YALE 90 – 84 COR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | YALE 92 – 88 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 80.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 9.1 (#58) | 3.1 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#93) | 0.30 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#83) | 0.38 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#68) | 0.527 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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