And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
West Coast Conference · Jenny Craig Pavilion · February 26, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 161.5 Under
Money USD +240 / SCU -333
Model Predictions
Spread Total USD win
Actual SCU +18 144 Lost
Massey SCU -4.8 (-13.2) — —
Massey Totals — 162.2 (-18.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 15% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 13% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -5.2 (-12.8) 158.9 (-14.9) 26% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -5.1 (-12.9) 157.8 (-13.8) 24% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -5.6 (-12.4) 159.5 (-15.5) 25% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -4.9 (-13.1) 161.1 (-17.1) 28% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 25, 2026 SCU 85 – 73 USD
Jan 5, 2026 SCU 98 – 70 USD
Feb 9, 2025 SCU 93 – 70 USD
Jan 3, 2025 SCU 81 – 80 USD
Mar 10, 2024 SCU 104 – 79 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings USD SCU
Overall 11-20 23-10
Conference 4-12 11-5
Home 8-9 14-4
Away 3-8 6-3
Neutral 0-3 3-3
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak L6 L2
Avg Pts For 76.3 77.3
Avg Pts Against 81.6 73.8
Massey -2.0 (#210) 6.4 (#85)
Bradley-Terry -0.72 (#244) 1.63 (#54)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.54 (#223) 2.04 (#55)
RPI 0.460 (#262) 0.565 (#63)
Shooting & Four Factors USD SCU
FG% 45.1% 45.6%
3PT% 36.3% 37.3%
REB / G 32.7 38.2
OREB / G 9.8 10.8
AST / TO 1.09 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 52.5%
TOV% 16.1% 17.5%
ORB% 28.0% 30.8%
FT Rate 23.6% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.8% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 16.3%
DRB% 70.1% 76.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 17.6%

Game Analysis

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