Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | RID -225 MSM +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +5 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -9.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -7.5 (-12.5) | 136.9 (-15.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -8.0 (-13.0) | 135.4 (-14.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -7.8 (-12.8) | 138.6 (-17.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -7.1 (-12.1) | 139.9 (-18.9) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | MSM 65 – 55 RID |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MSM 71 – 61 RID |
| Feb 23, 2025 | MSM 79 – 72 RID |
| Jan 17, 2025 | RID 66 – 60 MSM |
| Feb 17, 2024 | RID 61 – 57 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-6 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#189) | -6.5 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#199) | -1.54 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#196) | -1.89 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#172) | 0.433 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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