I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–12 on winners spread MAE 9.4 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gonzaga @ Portland -9.6 164.5 15% 82–67 ✓
Evansville @ Valparaiso +7.5 139.9 81% 69–81 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International -4.2 137.1 31% 74–82 ✗
Syracuse @ Virginia Tech +6.3 142.9 77% 70–85 ✓
Maine @ UAlbany -1.5 139.1 51% 72–68 ✓
Princeton @ Yale +3.7 137.9 71% 65–87 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -5.1 131.0 31% 70–53 ✓
Utah Tech @ Abilene Christian +0.6 142.6 56% 76–81 ✓
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +1.0 139.2 58% 69–70 ✓
Long Island University @ St. Francis Brooklyn +7.2 136.7 81% 59–71 ✓
Georgia State @ Marshall +10.2 143.6 84% 65–103 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +16.7 146.1 89% 46–77 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Liberty +10.5 128.2 85% 57–74 ✓
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky +4.7 134.3 73% 63–73 ✓
California Baptist @ UT Rio Grande Valley -5.9 146.4 29% 58–64 ✗
Kansas @ Kentucky +1.6 136.6 58% 77–68 ✗
Arizona State @ Washington State +3.7 133.8 70% 58–75 ✓
Utah @ Oregon +3.8 136.8 70% 56–68 ✓
Ohio State @ Indiana +2.8 143.6 69% 70–86 ✓
Colorado State @ Boise State +10.6 141.5 86% 59–80 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Tarleton State -3.5 137.6 43% 62–81 ✗
Ole Miss @ Oklahoma State +8.6 131.5 79% 60–82 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Louisiana +8.8 139.4 83% 87–94 ✓
South Dakota @ St. Thomas +7.5 140.2 79% 81–67 ✗
Omaha @ Oral Roberts +19.5 153.7 90% 64–73 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +4.2 136.7 69% 60–70 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas A&M +7.9 140.8 81% 66–72 ✓
San José State @ San Diego State +12.5 133.6 87% 51–72 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +14.4 134.6 86% 56–81 ✓
Saint Mary's @ BYU -4.8 129.9 27% 57–56 ✓
California @ Stanford +10.5 128.6 84% 46–75 ✓
Nevada @ UNLV +0.9 144.3 60% 62–68 ✓
San Francisco @ San Diego -4.1 154.0 33% 94–81 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly -5.4 127.4 28% 65–36 ✓
Montana State @ Sacramento State -1.6 130.8 36% 72–65 ✓
Montana @ Portland State -0.0 139.6 46% 73–67 ✓
Colorado @ Oregon State -7.9 128.2 25% 52–60 ✗
Pepperdine @ Loyola Marymount +9.6 156.0 86% 70–84 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +11.3 126.4 84% 69–72 ✓
Providence @ Villanova -0.5 140.3 47% 70–65 ✓
Wichita State @ East Carolina +0.9 136.9 58% 85–72 ✗
Boston University @ Lehigh +0.4 134.3 53% 55–66 ✓
Michigan @ Penn State +5.2 140.0 67% 61–83 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +5.8 143.0 71% 79–76 ✗
Michigan State @ Purdue +11.0 130.5 85% 61–77 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Iona +7.0 143.1 78% 72–78 ✓
Manhattan @ Canisius +4.3 139.4 60% 81–74 ✗
Oakland @ Robert Morris +2.5 146.0 60% 63–68 ✓
Siena @ Marist -4.6 130.7 31% 70–55 ✓
Rider @ Fairfield -0.1 129.3 45% 78–69 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +12.5 156.4 86% 73–75 ✓
Rutgers @ Iowa +2.6 143.4 73% 82–93 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State +8.7 157.4 85% 63–73 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Illinois State -4.2 130.5 34% 66–72 ✗
Drake @ Belmont +1.7 142.3 56% 79–61 ✗
Bradley @ UIC -9.7 137.9 18% 83–76 ✓
Furman @ UNC Greensboro +0.6 139.4 53% 69–57 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +17.6 141.3 90% 72–78 ✓
South Florida @ SMU +1.8 147.9 63% 80–82 ✓
Memphis @ Tulsa -11.8 158.8 15% 80–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.