Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -1400 IUIN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -22.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -19.7 (-13.7) | 140.7 (+9.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -17.6 (-11.6) | 141.3 (+8.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -16.5 (-10.5) | 142.5 (+7.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -18.5 (-12.5) | 143.2 (+6.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | CLE 101 – 93 IUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | IUIN 82 – 74 CLE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | CLE 99 – 86 IUIN |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CLE 73 – 62 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CLE 67 – 61 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 13-3 | 4-9 |
| Away | 7-9 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#139) | -17.8 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#156) | -3.73 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#148) | -4.29 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#171) | 0.342 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 64.7% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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