Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -450 CSU +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +21 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -11.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -11.3 (+9.7) | 144.4 (-5.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -10.6 (+10.4) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -12.0 (+9.0) | 143.3 (-4.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -11.0 (+10.0) | 143.7 (-4.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | BOIS 78 – 67 CSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BOIS 79 – 73 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 69 – 56 BOIS |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CSU 83 – 73 BOIS |
| Jan 23, 2025 | CSU 75 – 72 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#27) | 4.3 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#36) | 0.27 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#24) | 0.25 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#31) | 0.518 (#146) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 5.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 16.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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