Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | ACU -213 UTU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UTU -0.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTU -0.2 (+5.2) | 147.4 (+9.6) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -0.6 (+4.4) | 142.6 (+14.4) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -0.4 (+4.6) | 148.3 (+8.7) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -0.1 (+4.9) | 150.3 (+6.7) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UTU 80 – 74 ACU |
| Feb 27, 2026 | UTU 85 – 81 ACU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTU 76 – 70 ACU |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UTU 79 – 64 ACU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | ACU 80 – 72 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#244) | -0.5 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#250) | -0.34 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#253) | -0.36 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#263) | 0.481 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 28.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.1% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.