Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | CP +170 CSUF -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +29 | 101 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUF -4.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUF -3.2 (-25.8) | 130.7 (-29.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUF -5.4 (-23.6) | 127.4 (-26.4) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUF -3.6 (-25.4) | 130.8 (-29.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUF -3.7 (-25.3) | 131.2 (-30.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | CSUF 93 – 78 CP |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CP 94 – 91 CSUF |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CP 100 – 61 CSUF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | CP 98 – 83 CSUF |
| Feb 23, 2024 | CSUF 68 – 50 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-25 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 1-18 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-11 | 11-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.4 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#288) | 0.7 (#158) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#312) | -0.17 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#298) | -0.13 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#331) | 0.499 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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