But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · January 29, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money RMU -125 / OAK +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +5 131 Won
Massey RMU -5.4 (-0.4) — —
Massey Totals — 141.7 (-10.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 54% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -3.9 (+1.1) 145.9 (-14.9) 69% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -2.5 (+2.5) 146.0 (-15.0) 60% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -4.2 (+0.8) 144.9 (-13.9) 68% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -4.1 (+0.9) 145.7 (-14.7) 68% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 RMU 93 – 69 OAK
Jan 4, 2026 OAK 96 – 73 RMU
Mar 10, 2025 RMU 79 – 76 OAK
Jan 25, 2025 RMU 73 – 71 OAK
Jan 4, 2025 RMU 79 – 71 OAK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU OAK
Overall 16-17 13-19
Conference 10-10 11-9
Home 11-4 8-6
Away 5-10 5-10
Neutral 0-3 0-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.5 72.7
Avg Pts Against 67.7 77.9
Massey -3.7 (#239) -5.6 (#268)
Bradley-Terry -1.06 (#282) -0.59 (#234)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.96 (#252) -0.84 (#243)
RPI 0.441 (#289) 0.471 (#241)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU OAK
FG% 43.3% 43.3%
3PT% 33.0% 32.8%
REB / G 33.8 30.4
OREB / G 9.6 7.9
AST / TO 1.02 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 50.0%
TOV% 19.7% 15.3%
ORB% 27.9% 22.6%
FT Rate 18.8% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.9% 54.4%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 17.9%
DRB% 71.4% 66.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.5% 15.1%

Game Analysis

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