Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CMU +110 WMU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CMU +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | CMU -1.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -0.4 (+1.4) | 141.7 (-2.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CMU -1.0 (-0.0) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CMU -0.4 (+0.6) | 144.2 (-5.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -0.2 (+1.2) | 145.1 (-6.1) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CMU 83 – 70 WMU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WMU 77 – 65 CMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CMU 86 – 57 WMU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CMU 73 – 52 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | CMU 69 – 42 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#311) | -6.1 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#326) | -1.79 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.15 (#320) | -2.03 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#344) | 0.424 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CMU | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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