Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Under |
| Money | PORT +700 GONZ -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +15 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -10.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -11.6 (-3.4) | 164.1 (-15.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -9.6 (-5.4) | 164.5 (-15.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -9.8 (-5.2) | 165.6 (-16.6) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -11.2 (-3.8) | 165.6 (-16.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 48 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2026 | PORT 87 – 80 GONZ |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GONZ 105 – 62 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GONZ 81 – 50 PORT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 65 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 14-2 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 2-10 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 9-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 85.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#169) | 13.9 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#169) | 3.02 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#154) | 4.02 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#198) | 0.641 (#6) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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