Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -450 DETM +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -10.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -10.5 (-0.5) | 158.7 (-22.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -8.7 (+1.3) | 157.4 (-21.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -9.4 (+0.6) | 159.9 (-23.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -9.7 (+0.3) | 160.5 (-24.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | DETM 76 – 70 YSU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | DETM 73 – 68 YSU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | YSU 87 – 72 DETM |
| Dec 29, 2024 | YSU 73 – 64 DETM |
| Feb 28, 2024 | YSU 69 – 55 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 75.7 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#111) | -3.0 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#142) | -1.04 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#136) | -0.85 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#153) | 0.446 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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