Betting Lines
| Spread | STAN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | STAN -700 CAL +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STAN +29 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | STAN -11.5 (+17.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STAN -9.9 (+19.1) | 131.6 (-10.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STAN -10.5 (+18.5) | 128.6 (-7.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STAN -9.8 (+19.2) | 132.2 (-11.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STAN -9.7 (+19.3) | 132.9 (-11.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CAL 72 – 66 STAN |
| Jan 25, 2026 | CAL 78 – 66 STAN |
| Mar 12, 2025 | STAN 78 – 73 CAL |
| Feb 23, 2025 | STAN 66 – 61 CAL |
| Dec 7, 2024 | STAN 89 – 81 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STAN | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-6 | 3-14 |
| Away | 2-8 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L16 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 58.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#102) | -3.6 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#206) | -1.71 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#183) | -1.72 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#255) | 0.429 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STAN | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.