Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -138 BU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +11 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -2.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -2.5 (+8.5) | 136.9 (-15.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -0.4 (+10.6) | 134.3 (-13.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.2 (+6.8) | 135.2 (-14.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -3.6 (+7.4) | 135.5 (-14.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | LEH 74 – 60 BU |
| Feb 22, 2026 | LEH 70 – 67 BU |
| Jan 14, 2026 | LEH 93 – 91 BU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | BU 79 – 68 LEH |
| Jan 15, 2025 | BU 63 – 58 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 67.7 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#262) | -4.7 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#195) | -0.96 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#209) | -1.32 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#169) | 0.453 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | BU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 19.4% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.