Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -250 SDAK +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +14 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -11.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -9.2 (-23.2) | 142.8 (+5.2) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -7.5 (-21.5) | 140.2 (+7.8) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -8.4 (-22.4) | 143.5 (+4.5) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -8.3 (-22.3) | 143.3 (+4.7) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | STMN 90 – 78 SDAK |
| Jan 8, 2026 | STMN 99 – 86 SDAK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | SDAK 85 – 80 STMN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | STMN 119 – 104 SDAK |
| Feb 18, 2024 | STMN 83 – 80 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#194) | -8.8 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#171) | -0.87 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#194) | -1.30 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#193) | 0.440 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.