Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -250 BELL +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -7.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -6.0 (+4.0) | 136.1 (-0.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -4.7 (+5.3) | 134.3 (+1.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -5.5 (+4.5) | 135.2 (+0.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -5.7 (+4.3) | 136.8 (-0.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | EKU 95 – 92 BELL |
| Jan 18, 2026 | EKU 89 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BELL 80 – 74 EKU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | EKU 72 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 18, 2024 | EKU 75 – 65 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#189) | -4.9 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#147) | -0.51 (#228) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#164) | -0.72 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#111) | 0.485 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 20.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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