Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -350 QUIN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -7.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -4.6 (+1.4) | 145.0 (+5.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -7.0 (-1.0) | 143.1 (+6.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -4.3 (+1.7) | 144.2 (+5.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -4.8 (+1.2) | 144.1 (+5.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#74) | 3.3 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#108) | 0.69 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#98) | 0.95 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#76) | 0.535 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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