Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | UALB +110 ME -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | ME -1.9 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -2.2 (-1.8) | 141.0 (-1.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -1.5 (-2.5) | 139.1 (+0.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -2.1 (-1.9) | 142.5 (-2.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -2.1 (-1.9) | 142.5 (-2.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ME 70 – 59 UALB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ME 52 – 49 UALB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UALB 79 – 68 ME |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ME 87 – 66 UALB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ME 74 – 71 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 7-9 |
| Home | 5-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-16 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#337) | -5.4 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#338) | -1.23 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#338) | -1.38 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#313) | 0.442 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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