Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | YALE -150 PRIN +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +22 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | YALE -4.7 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -4.2 (+17.8) | 141.4 (+10.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -3.7 (+18.3) | 137.9 (+14.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -3.6 (+18.4) | 141.7 (+10.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -4.2 (+17.8) | 142.4 (+9.6) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-9 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Home | 10-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#76) | 5.6 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#121) | 0.60 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#109) | 1.07 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#115) | 0.533 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 78.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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