Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -500 MISS +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +22 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -9.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -8.4 (+13.6) | 131.9 (+10.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -8.6 (+13.4) | 131.5 (+10.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -8.4 (+13.6) | 132.5 (+9.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -9.3 (+12.7) | 132.7 (+9.3) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-6 | 7-10 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#39) | 4.7 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.46 (#62) | 0.49 (#130) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#53) | 0.92 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#70) | 0.539 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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