Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | PRST +100 MONT +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +6 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -0.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -0.2 (-6.2) | 141.2 (-1.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -0.0 (-6.0) | 139.6 (+0.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -1.3 (-7.3) | 142.3 (-2.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -0.5 (-6.5) | 142.4 (-2.4) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 10-7 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#229) | -0.3 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#219) | -0.58 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#213) | -0.38 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#219) | 0.468 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.5% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
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