Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -2500 OMA +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -22.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -19.7 (-10.7) | 153.4 (-16.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -19.5 (-10.5) | 153.7 (-16.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -17.9 (-8.9) | 153.7 (-16.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -19.7 (-10.7) | 153.9 (-16.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OMA 73 – 62 ORU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OMA 80 – 57 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | OMA 84 – 76 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OMA 71 – 70 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 4-14 |
| Home | 16-0 | 5-7 |
| Away | 11-4 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#40) | -8.4 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#43) | -0.92 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#45) | -1.29 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#26) | 0.457 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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