Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UIC +400 BRAD -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -10.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -9.5 (+2.5) | 140.0 (+19.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -9.7 (+2.7) | 137.9 (+21.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -10.1 (+3.1) | 139.3 (+19.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -11.5 (+4.5) | 139.5 (+19.5) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | UIC 93 – 86 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UIC 85 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 30, 2025 | UIC 93 – 70 BRAD |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 60 UIC |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRAD 74 – 47 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 16-4 |
| Home | 7-8 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#290) | 7.1 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#280) | 0.72 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#273) | 0.88 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#288) | 0.540 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.