Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | MRST +188 SIE -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +15 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -5.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -5.3 (-9.7) | 131.2 (-6.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -4.6 (-10.4) | 130.7 (-5.7) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -5.7 (-9.3) | 132.3 (-7.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -5.0 (-10.0) | 132.3 (-7.3) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#303) | 1.1 (#147) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#309) | 0.38 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.98 (#316) | 0.46 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#322) | 0.522 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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