Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -900 FGCU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -12.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.2 (+2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.0 (+6.0) | 129.5 (+1.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -10.5 (+6.5) | 128.2 (+2.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -12.4 (+4.6) | 129.4 (+1.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -11.4 (+5.6) | 129.6 (+1.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2022 | FGCU 82 – 72 LIB |
| Jan 16, 2022 | LIB 78 – 75 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 19-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#57) | 0.7 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#63) | 0.62 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#67) | 0.84 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#57) | 0.546 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 79.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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