Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -3.0 Push |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -1.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -0.2 (-2.8) | 142.2 (+10.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -2.3 (-0.7) | 142.3 (+10.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -0.2 (-2.8) | 143.4 (+9.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -0.6 (-2.4) | 144.1 (+8.9) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2023 | LIB 74 – 57 FGCU |
| Feb 24, 2022 | FGCU 82 – 72 LIB |
Game Analysis
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