Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -154 DRKE +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +18 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -1.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -0.5 (-18.5) | 144.4 (-4.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -1.7 (-19.7) | 142.3 (-2.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -1.0 (-19.0) | 144.0 (-4.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -1.2 (-19.2) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | DRKE 100 – 79 BEL |
| Feb 4, 2026 | BEL 103 – 90 DRKE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BEL 78 – 76 DRKE |
| Mar 8, 2025 | DRKE 57 – 50 BEL |
| Dec 29, 2024 | DRKE 65 – 46 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#125) | 5.1 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#91) | 0.97 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#123) | 1.23 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#71) | 0.552 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 40.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.