What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–28 on winners spread MAE 10.5 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -7.7 131.4 20% 67–60 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech +6.0 135.9 73% 68–63 ✗
Oregon @ Utah +5.3 136.0 67% 70–60 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Columbia -5.6 140.8 26% 84–55 ✓
Harvard @ Yale +8.4 128.9 80% 54–58 ✓
UAB @ Florida International -10.6 156.1 18% 87–90 ✗
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian -0.8 148.6 47% 74–72 ✓
The Citadel @ Wofford +8.0 140.7 79% 57–77 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +10.3 148.9 86% 57–82 ✓
NC State @ Virginia Tech +4.1 142.6 65% 73–69 ✗
Utah Valley @ UT Rio Grande Valley -8.7 156.9 21% 75–61 ✓
Pacific @ Pepperdine +5.0 156.3 67% 80–75 ✗
BYU @ San Diego -3.6 148.0 28% 68–48 ✓
Georgia State @ Louisiana +8.0 138.0 80% 70–78 ✓
App State @ James Madison +11.4 143.0 85% 71–62 ✗
Omaha @ St. Thomas +8.3 145.4 80% 68–80 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +12.0 144.7 86% 71–74 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside +9.5 135.7 84% 45–68 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +8.8 134.9 79% 48–67 ✓
Montana @ Northern Colorado -1.2 149.2 44% 79–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Queens University +4.8 146.0 66% 76–67 ✗
Stetson @ North Alabama -1.4 146.8 47% 95–85 ✓
Arkansas @ Auburn +1.2 137.2 67% 59–72 ✓
Butler @ Seton Hall +3.1 134.1 66% 51–76 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southern Indiana -0.3 149.0 55% 69–62 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State +5.6 135.8 72% 70–61 ✗
Portland @ Saint Mary's +15.5 134.9 88% 43–85 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +7.1 154.2 77% 70–87 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton -0.5 130.4 50% 72–79 ✗
Idaho State @ Weber State +6.7 133.8 76% 67–57 ✗
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville State +1.1 126.4 53% 75–62 ✗
UNLV @ New Mexico +5.7 151.5 71% 84–77 ✗
Oregon State @ Colorado +14.8 135.3 89% 42–62 ✓
Gonzaga @ Santa Clara -1.2 157.2 34% 81–76 ✓
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount +2.9 146.5 60% 72–70 ✗
Northwestern @ Indiana +6.4 135.7 70% 84–83 ✗
Vermont @ New Hampshire -4.9 131.2 29% 60–67 ✗
Iowa @ Rutgers +7.4 141.7 67% 76–65 ✗
Ohio State @ Maryland -2.0 138.9 53% 73–80 ✗
Bucknell @ Lafayette +1.6 127.2 62% 67–74 ✓
Wichita State @ South Florida +0.8 132.1 51% 70–66 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Holy Cross +2.8 128.5 60% 55–63 ✓
UMBC @ Bryant +4.0 153.0 66% 81–73 ✗
Oakland @ Wright State +4.6 155.4 60% 75–73 ✗
Liberty @ Eastern Kentucky -8.4 136.5 24% 59–62 ✗
SMU @ UCF +11.2 132.4 84% 53–85 ✓
Boston University @ American University +3.9 127.5 68% 74–76 ✓
NJIT @ Maine +7.5 136.2 73% 91–83 ✗
Lehigh @ Navy +10.1 140.8 83% 78–73 ✗
Rider @ Siena +4.8 138.7 71% 63–68 ✓
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +1.8 132.1 50% 67–60 ✗
Iona @ Quinnipiac -3.5 144.6 35% 58–81 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist -1.3 130.1 46% 56–63 ✗
Niagara @ Manhattan -4.4 131.5 33% 59–64 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +1.3 137.6 54% 76–78 ✓
Houston @ Cincinnati -11.3 132.6 14% 72–59 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany -8.5 140.7 26% 63–89 ✗
Washington @ Arizona State +8.7 141.2 80% 65–73 ✓
Purdue @ Penn State -3.2 138.3 29% 76–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.