This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
← All models

Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
44–17 on winners spread MAE 8.5 61 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi Valley State -2.3 140.0 38% 74–78 ✗
SMU @ South Florida +4.5 151.8 70% 67–71 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alabama State -0.2 137.6 47% 55–50 ✓
Notre Dame @ Wake Forest +9.8 150.4 84% 58–66 ✓
NJIT @ UAlbany +0.9 144.3 50% 68–82 ✓
Cornell @ Yale +10.4 153.6 84% 58–76 ✓
UTSA @ Florida International +8.2 149.0 80% 95–91 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Lamar +0.9 146.8 52% 84–79 ✗
Boise State @ San José State -2.7 135.3 38% 68–74 ✗
Utah Valley @ Abilene Christian -4.0 150.1 31% 66–62 ✓
Chattanooga @ Wofford +0.8 151.8 54% 74–86 ✓
Western Michigan @ Akron +12.6 143.2 88% 64–81 ✓
Portland @ Pacific +1.8 162.2 58% 77–81 ✓
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -15.4 156.1 13% 93–79 ✓
Towson @ UNC Wilmington +2.5 140.6 62% 57–53 ✗
Delaware @ Elon -2.8 139.7 37% 70–54 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State +11.1 149.3 86% 64–71 ✓
Indiana @ Purdue +7.0 138.2 74% 79–71 ✗
DePaul @ Marquette +15.7 153.8 88% 84–90 ✓
Houston @ East Carolina -15.4 133.6 13% 76–57 ✓
USC @ Utah +1.3 139.8 57% 62–49 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Duke +6.7 141.6 74% 65–81 ✓
UAB @ Western Kentucky -4.1 153.5 34% 72–60 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley -1.8 145.1 41% 95–99 ✗
Kansas City @ South Dakota +1.6 136.5 56% 48–82 ✓
Cleveland State @ Milwaukee +0.1 146.2 51% 72–81 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Idaho State -4.2 145.1 27% 63–71 ✗
LSU @ Ole Miss +4.8 136.9 68% 69–82 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana +5.5 130.8 72% 72–74 ✓
Idaho @ Weber State +6.4 136.0 76% 53–67 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga +3.4 144.9 66% 68–77 ✓
San Diego State @ New Mexico +0.5 148.0 49% 73–71 ✗
Oregon @ Oregon State -7.6 130.7 22% 69–67 ✓
Santa Clara @ San Diego -5.6 159.5 25% 81–63 ✓
San Francisco @ BYU +5.7 150.1 70% 61–87 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego -3.6 140.5 30% 87–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ Hawai'i +1.6 134.3 57% 67–72 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine -0.1 158.5 47% 75–67 ✓
Northwestern @ Maryland +5.5 130.6 70% 59–75 ✓
Illinois @ Ohio State +0.1 144.5 47% 60–72 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ St. Bonaventure +2.9 140.5 66% 76–89 ✓
Providence @ Georgetown -8.4 150.5 20% 88–68 ✓
Belmont @ Northern Iowa -2.7 147.1 40% 83–75 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Niagara +5.2 125.3 66% 66–65 ✗
Siena @ Iona +12.3 137.7 86% 60–93 ✓
Fairfield @ Canisius +0.8 137.8 55% 51–64 ✓
Cincinnati @ Memphis +7.0 155.0 77% 73–76 ✓
Southern Illinois @ UIC -5.5 132.9 25% 68–65 ✓
Missouri State @ Indiana State +8.5 139.2 80% 66–62 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Rider +7.8 138.6 79% 63–58 ✗
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac +10.5 146.6 86% 72–70 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan +6.0 131.0 72% 79–87 ✓
Davidson @ Duquesne +6.5 145.5 76% 71–67 ✗
Wichita State @ Tulane +6.6 152.7 75% 83–76 ✗
Evansville @ Illinois State +8.4 139.9 79% 53–72 ✓
UCLA @ Colorado -5.1 135.6 26% 60–56 ✓
Valparaiso @ Murray State +5.5 146.4 71% 76–77 ✓
Drake @ Bradley +3.3 135.3 64% 61–73 ✓
UCF @ Tulsa -12.8 141.3 13% 68–49 ✓
Washington @ Stanford +2.7 139.6 61% 69–81 ✓
Rutgers @ Penn State +2.1 132.7 59% 59–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.