I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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45–15 on winners spread MAE 9.3 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Gonzaga @ Portland -9.8 165.6 18% 82–67 ✓
Evansville @ Valparaiso +7.8 139.8 80% 69–81 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida International -2.9 140.0 36% 74–82 ✗
Syracuse @ Virginia Tech +6.0 143.2 71% 70–85 ✓
Maine @ UAlbany -2.1 142.5 41% 72–68 ✓
Princeton @ Yale +3.6 141.7 66% 65–87 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -6.1 137.6 28% 70–53 ✓
Utah Tech @ Abilene Christian +0.4 148.3 54% 76–81 ✓
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +0.4 144.2 52% 69–70 ✓
Long Island University @ St. Francis Brooklyn +8.9 139.2 82% 59–71 ✓
Georgia State @ Marshall +11.6 143.0 87% 65–103 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +15.5 147.4 89% 46–77 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Liberty +12.4 129.4 85% 57–74 ✓
Bellarmine @ Eastern Kentucky +5.5 135.2 73% 63–73 ✓
California Baptist @ UT Rio Grande Valley -5.0 147.4 31% 58–64 ✗
Kansas @ Kentucky +2.5 142.8 60% 77–68 ✗
Arizona State @ Washington State +2.1 135.0 61% 58–75 ✓
Utah @ Oregon +2.2 138.6 63% 56–68 ✓
Ohio State @ Indiana +4.6 145.2 71% 70–86 ✓
Colorado State @ Boise State +12.0 143.3 86% 59–80 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Tarleton State -2.0 139.2 42% 62–81 ✗
Ole Miss @ Oklahoma State +8.4 132.5 77% 60–82 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Louisiana +9.5 141.7 84% 87–94 ✓
South Dakota @ St. Thomas +8.4 143.5 81% 81–67 ✗
Omaha @ Oral Roberts +17.9 153.7 91% 64–73 ✓
Denver @ Kansas City +4.0 138.9 69% 60–70 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas A&M +8.5 144.0 80% 66–72 ✓
San José State @ San Diego State +10.1 137.2 85% 51–72 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +13.9 134.8 87% 56–81 ✓
Saint Mary's @ BYU -6.0 133.1 28% 57–56 ✓
California @ Stanford +9.8 132.2 83% 46–75 ✓
Nevada @ UNLV +0.7 145.1 54% 62–68 ✓
San Francisco @ San Diego -1.7 158.7 43% 94–81 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly -3.6 130.8 36% 65–36 ✓
Montana State @ Sacramento State +0.0 131.4 50% 72–65 ✗
Montana @ Portland State +1.3 142.3 56% 73–67 ✗
Colorado @ Oregon State -6.3 129.3 29% 52–60 ✗
Pepperdine @ Loyola Marymount +10.2 153.0 85% 70–84 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +10.1 126.6 85% 69–72 ✓
Providence @ Villanova -1.5 143.8 44% 70–65 ✓
Wichita State @ East Carolina +0.8 136.0 53% 85–72 ✗
Boston University @ Lehigh +4.2 135.2 70% 55–66 ✓
Michigan @ Penn State +5.0 142.6 70% 61–83 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Mason +4.9 143.0 72% 79–76 ✗
Michigan State @ Purdue +10.1 131.3 83% 61–77 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Iona +4.3 144.2 66% 72–78 ✓
Manhattan @ Canisius +4.2 139.4 65% 81–74 ✗
Oakland @ Robert Morris +4.2 144.9 68% 63–68 ✓
Siena @ Marist -5.7 132.3 27% 70–55 ✓
Rider @ Fairfield +0.9 129.2 54% 78–69 ✗
Georgetown @ St. John's +11.5 157.0 87% 73–75 ✓
Rutgers @ Iowa +1.8 140.9 58% 82–93 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Youngstown State +9.4 159.9 84% 63–73 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Illinois State -4.9 130.5 25% 66–72 ✗
Drake @ Belmont +1.0 144.0 57% 79–61 ✗
Bradley @ UIC -10.1 139.3 18% 83–76 ✓
Furman @ UNC Greensboro +1.9 141.2 61% 69–57 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +16.5 142.5 91% 72–78 ✓
South Florida @ SMU +1.3 146.7 57% 80–82 ✓
Memphis @ Tulsa -11.4 155.7 15% 80–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.