Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–13 on winners spread MAE 9.3 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
La Salle @ Duke +19.4 147.5 89% 66–95 ✓
Boston University @ Davidson +7.0 133.9 73% 45–69 ✓
Idaho State @ Campbell -0.1 123.9 47% 69–55 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Ball State +5.5 135.0 72% 58–75 ✓
Army @ UAlbany +8.9 136.1 77% 59–62 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Detroit Mercy +5.8 140.9 66% 76–72 ✗
UMBC @ Maryland +4.2 137.5 65% 68–92 ✓
Marist @ New Hampshire +3.1 135.2 62% 71–74 ✓
Lehigh @ Monmouth +6.6 142.2 74% 79–88 ✓
UAB @ Middle Tennessee +10.4 135.1 74% 58–57 ✗
Hofstra @ Wright State -5.1 154.7 25% 85–76 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Utah State -3.8 149.4 36% 49–79 ✗
Long Island University @ Columbia +13.6 145.8 86% 67–77 ✓
Tennessee @ Purdue +1.3 135.8 66% 67–71 ✓
Western Illinois @ Valparaiso +2.7 140.8 68% 66–73 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Auburn +23.4 154.0 89% 54–84 ✓
Texas Southern @ Oral Roberts +15.3 131.7 87% 63–65 ✓
Alcorn State @ TCU +29.6 150.0 91% 74–93 ✓
UC Irvine @ Pepperdine -3.3 144.4 43% 76–60 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico State -5.6 142.3 26% 81–76 ✓
Siena @ Milwaukee +4.7 144.0 73% 59–61 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Minnesota +17.0 153.0 88% 67–86 ✓
Green Bay @ UC Riverside -3.4 124.8 33% 68–74 ✗
Le Moyne @ Cal State Northridge +17.1 150.5 89% 80–70 ✗
Kansas @ Marquette -3.0 157.9 45% 59–73 ✗
New Mexico @ Toledo +3.6 151.8 67% 92–84 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Hawai'i +11.1 144.1 82% 61–70 ✓
Buffalo @ Iona +11.8 146.8 84% 64–89 ✓
Northern Iowa @ North Carolina +6.1 147.7 74% 69–91 ✓
App State @ Murray State -8.2 152.8 22% 67–57 ✓
Chicago State @ Morgan State -2.9 144.4 32% 84–83 ✓
Georgia State @ Little Rock +3.8 156.0 60% 93–90 ✗
Texas State @ Southern Utah +0.5 132.8 54% 67–74 ✓
Colorado State @ Boston College -0.9 146.4 45% 86–74 ✓
Louisiana @ Long Beach State +4.3 147.1 69% 92–82 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Presbyterian +12.1 141.8 85% 79–75 ✗
Harvard @ Colgate -3.2 132.9 36% 76–70 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Massachusetts +17.0 147.7 87% 60–89 ✓
Tennessee @ Kansas +2.1 141.5 58% 60–69 ✓
Sam Houston @ Grambling -8.3 142.7 19% 86–68 ✓
Texas Tech @ Villanova -1.2 127.7 47% 69–85 ✗
Austin Peay @ Sacramento State -2.0 129.9 46% 74–71 ✓
North Alabama @ UT Martin +6.3 139.9 72% 103–105 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Radford +3.8 141.5 67% 68–79 ✓
Ole Miss @ Temple +8.8 138.1 80% 77–76 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Creighton +15.6 150.3 87% 65–88 ✓
Princeton @ Old Dominion -7.4 139.0 26% 76–56 ✓
McNeese @ Louisiana Tech +5.2 134.7 70% 62–71 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ American University +5.2 145.2 70% 65–68 ✓
Purdue @ Marquette -1.9 147.6 41% 78–75 ✓
The Citadel @ Campbell +0.9 125.1 57% 58–65 ✓
Wright State @ Illinois State +2.6 143.5 62% 74–49 ✗
VMI @ Air Force +10.3 138.3 80% 54–64 ✓
Memphis @ Michigan -1.1 156.0 45% 71–67 ✓
Tarleton State @ Cal State Bakersfield -5.7 141.9 29% 59–40 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Merrimack +8.2 139.2 79% 73–96 ✓
West Virginia @ Virginia +6.4 124.1 80% 54–56 ✓
Southern Illinois @ New Mexico State -8.6 142.9 20% 81–54 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Northern Kentucky +3.5 140.7 66% 73–88 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.