What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–8 on winners spread MAE 10.4 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ Oregon State -10.6 152.8 20% 88–72 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Cincinnati +14.5 150.5 86% 54–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Missouri +15.2 149.3 89% 59–82 ✓
Pepperdine @ Indiana State +7.8 154.2 78% 82–90 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Cleveland State +8.6 141.4 81% 70–72 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Queens University +4.9 148.0 70% 84–97 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Notre Dame +7.1 138.8 73% 55–75 ✓
Maine @ South Florida +7.9 133.8 75% 70–59 ✗
Bucknell @ St. Bonaventure +6.8 132.9 67% 61–67 ✓
Hofstra @ High Point -2.8 152.1 33% 97–92 ✓
Alabama State @ Samford +4.9 147.7 60% 67–99 ✓
Alcorn State @ UT Arlington +8.2 151.2 74% 69–82 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Incarnate Word +6.3 143.1 64% 66–67 ✓
South Dakota State @ Southern Miss +3.9 145.1 61% 65–54 ✗
Idaho @ Seattle U +11.3 135.3 74% 55–92 ✓
Duquesne @ Nebraska +9.5 145.8 78% 79–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Kansas State +11.5 148.7 76% 56–100 ✓
Stanford @ Arkansas +1.7 158.0 62% 74–77 ✓
Wisconsin @ SMU -1.1 142.4 47% 69–61 ✓
James Madison @ Fresno State -6.8 161.0 23% 95–64 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ San Francisco +4.0 143.5 67% 60–76 ✓
UC Riverside @ Montana State +6.9 127.6 76% 68–69 ✓
Florida @ Pittsburgh +5.8 156.0 75% 86–71 ✗
Rice @ New Mexico +7.7 155.8 73% 56–90 ✓
UTEP @ Bradley +6.1 145.3 71% 59–63 ✓
Toledo @ UC Irvine +2.3 148.6 59% 71–77 ✓
Gonzaga @ UCLA -1.7 132.6 42% 69–65 ✓
California @ Tulane +9.9 150.9 81% 81–84 ✓
Penn State @ Texas A&M +2.6 131.9 56% 77–89 ✓
Texas Tech @ Northern Iowa -6.2 140.1 27% 72–70 ✓
Boston College @ Loyola Chicago -5.7 143.7 31% 68–71 ✗
Villanova @ North Carolina -0.1 141.8 49% 83–81 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Butler +4.5 140.0 66% 91–86 ✗
Oklahoma @ Iowa +0.3 150.4 54% 79–67 ✗
Michigan State @ Arizona +11.3 139.2 81% 68–74 ✓
Colorado State @ Creighton +1.1 153.4 52% 69–48 ✗
Seton Hall @ USC -4.5 139.6 30% 63–71 ✗
Iowa State @ VCU -16.1 134.5 14% 68–64 ✓
Arkansas @ Memphis +3.0 148.2 61% 79–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.