They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–29 on winners spread MAE 11.2 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -8.6 129.9 22% 67–60 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech +5.7 132.9 70% 68–63 ✗
Oregon @ Utah +8.7 133.2 79% 70–60 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Columbia -5.3 140.7 32% 84–55 ✓
Harvard @ Yale +11.1 127.6 84% 54–58 ✓
UAB @ Florida International -11.7 163.5 14% 87–90 ✗
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian -0.9 155.6 47% 74–72 ✓
The Citadel @ Wofford +9.0 140.1 79% 57–77 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +13.7 150.7 89% 57–82 ✓
NC State @ Virginia Tech +3.8 146.1 64% 73–69 ✗
Utah Valley @ UT Rio Grande Valley -9.0 156.9 21% 75–61 ✓
Pacific @ Pepperdine +10.1 161.6 82% 80–75 ✗
BYU @ San Diego -1.9 156.5 43% 68–48 ✓
Georgia State @ Louisiana +12.5 137.8 87% 70–78 ✓
App State @ James Madison +18.1 143.0 95% 71–62 ✗
Omaha @ St. Thomas +10.6 152.6 83% 68–80 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +17.0 141.5 94% 71–74 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Riverside +11.5 136.3 85% 45–68 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +11.2 134.6 85% 48–67 ✓
Montana @ Northern Colorado -1.1 152.7 46% 79–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Queens University +7.3 148.3 75% 76–67 ✗
Stetson @ North Alabama -2.0 150.3 43% 95–85 ✓
Arkansas @ Auburn -0.1 136.6 50% 59–72 ✗
Butler @ Seton Hall +2.2 127.9 58% 51–76 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southern Indiana -2.2 153.5 42% 69–62 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State +6.6 134.5 73% 70–61 ✗
Portland @ Saint Mary's +17.4 135.5 94% 43–85 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +11.1 155.5 84% 70–87 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton -1.1 122.3 46% 72–79 ✗
Idaho State @ Weber State +5.6 131.7 69% 67–57 ✗
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville State +2.3 128.2 58% 75–62 ✗
UNLV @ New Mexico +7.3 149.6 75% 84–77 ✗
Oregon State @ Colorado +16.3 134.0 93% 42–62 ✓
Gonzaga @ Santa Clara -2.5 158.5 41% 81–76 ✓
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount +6.1 145.5 71% 72–70 ✗
Northwestern @ Indiana +7.4 128.8 75% 84–83 ✗
Vermont @ New Hampshire -4.0 122.9 36% 60–67 ✗
Iowa @ Rutgers +11.2 139.7 85% 76–65 ✗
Ohio State @ Maryland -1.9 140.9 43% 73–80 ✗
Bucknell @ Lafayette +3.4 129.2 62% 67–74 ✓
Wichita State @ South Florida +1.7 124.0 56% 70–66 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Holy Cross +6.7 129.1 73% 55–63 ✓
UMBC @ Bryant +7.7 168.4 76% 81–73 ✗
Oakland @ Wright State +8.9 160.8 79% 75–73 ✗
Liberty @ Eastern Kentucky -9.1 137.4 20% 59–62 ✗
SMU @ UCF +13.8 129.8 90% 53–85 ✓
Boston University @ American University +7.9 132.0 76% 74–76 ✓
NJIT @ Maine +9.7 134.9 81% 91–83 ✗
Lehigh @ Navy +13.3 143.2 89% 78–73 ✗
Rider @ Siena +7.1 142.2 74% 63–68 ✓
Canisius @ Saint Peter's +0.2 131.7 51% 67–60 ✗
Iona @ Quinnipiac -5.4 145.6 31% 58–81 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Marist -2.1 125.9 43% 56–63 ✗
Niagara @ Manhattan -3.8 130.6 36% 59–64 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +1.7 136.4 56% 76–78 ✓
Houston @ Cincinnati -14.6 130.4 9% 72–59 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany -11.3 146.6 15% 63–89 ✗
Washington @ Arizona State +9.9 133.4 81% 65–73 ✓
Purdue @ Penn State -3.3 137.5 38% 76–63 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.