I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–15 on winners spread MAE 8.2 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ SMU -13.1 138.1 12% 80–65 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee -2.9 146.2 42% 70–74 ✗
Wichita State @ Temple +2.8 142.8 65% 79–65 ✗
North Texas @ Louisiana Tech -2.9 125.8 26% 72–62 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Charlotte +4.2 127.4 70% 64–68 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Radford +3.1 135.5 65% 63–54 ✗
Long Island University @ Stonehill +11.0 140.4 86% 60–75 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Sacred Heart +2.9 150.8 65% 86–94 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut -2.0 128.0 39% 57–58 ✗
Old Dominion @ James Madison +7.0 139.7 75% 67–76 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Marshall +11.5 145.3 85% 83–84 ✓
Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina +1.6 139.0 58% 68–77 ✓
Milwaukee @ Youngstown State +9.2 154.6 82% 58–87 ✓
Green Bay @ Robert Morris +12.2 133.2 87% 56–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Drexel +0.4 127.1 50% 72–71 ✗
Charleston @ Elon -13.8 147.4 14% 88–66 ✓
William & Mary @ Stony Brook +2.0 130.1 62% 66–71 ✓
Hampton @ Hofstra +17.4 146.4 90% 43–73 ✓
Delaware @ Towson +7.7 137.5 76% 72–95 ✓
Monmouth @ Northeastern +5.4 135.4 70% 62–77 ✓
Liberty @ Kennesaw State -3.4 138.5 40% 81–88 ✗
Queens University @ Jacksonville State +0.1 141.8 53% 69–76 ✓
Merrimack @ Hartford -5.8 125.7 17% 67–59 ✓
North Alabama @ Bellarmine +3.3 141.7 65% 70–57 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Eastern Kentucky +10.8 158.8 87% 58–74 ✓
UCF @ Memphis +4.9 144.8 75% 63–64 ✓
Colorado @ Arizona State +2.1 136.8 63% 67–59 ✗
UTSA @ Rice +9.9 151.2 84% 84–79 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +0.6 147.3 48% 78–74 ✗
Houston Christian @ Lamar +3.4 149.2 63% 75–91 ✓
Southern Miss @ South Alabama +1.9 137.4 54% 54–85 ✓
UL Monroe @ Louisiana +11.0 142.9 85% 67–84 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +18.5 156.5 90% 70–73 ✓
North Dakota State @ Kansas City +0.1 135.5 47% 69–58 ✗
South Dakota @ Omaha +0.1 145.7 49% 72–80 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +7.6 149.2 80% 64–78 ✓
Jacksonville @ Austin Peay -4.1 127.0 34% 60–56 ✓
North Florida @ Lipscomb +5.7 152.4 74% 114–111 ✗
Incarnate Word @ McNeese +4.0 136.5 70% 76–78 ✓
Troy @ Arkansas State -5.9 129.2 27% 67–62 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Little Rock -2.2 156.9 36% 82–81 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Diego -13.9 139.6 13% 62–59 ✓
UAB @ UTEP -5.3 140.9 26% 79–66 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ East Texas A&M +9.4 145.4 80% 84–78 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State +7.8 151.4 79% 76–81 ✓
Ohio State @ Iowa +5.1 155.0 78% 75–92 ✓
Santa Clara @ BYU +3.7 147.0 71% 81–74 ✗
South Dakota State @ Denver -4.9 141.7 29% 80–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin +0.5 152.4 51% 84–90 ✓
Tennessee State @ Morehead State +3.6 134.7 68% 64–74 ✓
Lindenwood @ Tennessee Tech +4.4 141.5 74% 68–77 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Idaho -1.4 150.9 38% 82–84 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Eastern Washington +9.8 148.6 84% 55–72 ✓
Utah @ Arizona +11.0 151.8 86% 62–88 ✓
California @ USC +14.3 129.6 87% 60–97 ✓
Weber State @ Sacramento State -0.3 126.8 51% 52–49 ✓
Idaho State @ Portland State +4.6 146.7 67% 70–79 ✓
Stanford @ UCLA +13.6 132.4 88% 64–73 ✓
Gonzaga @ Loyola Marymount -5.8 157.8 24% 108–65 ✓
Oregon State @ Washington State +13.7 127.8 87% 62–80 ✓
San Francisco @ Pacific -3.1 154.0 33% 76–68 ✓
Dartmouth @ Cornell +10.4 155.7 84% 83–95 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Kent State +16.8 150.9 90% 54–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.