Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -1000 GASO +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +1 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -14.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+21.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -13.5 (-12.5) | 146.9 (+20.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -11.5 (-10.5) | 145.3 (+21.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -13.3 (-12.3) | 147.4 (+19.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -13.2 (-12.2) | 147.7 (+19.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | GASO 82 – 78 MRSH |
| Feb 28, 2026 | GASO 99 – 82 MRSH |
| Feb 15, 2026 | GASO 101 – 87 MRSH |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MRSH 71 – 67 GASO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MRSH 81 – 69 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#58) | -2.3 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#86) | -0.40 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#76) | -0.58 (#227) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#61) | 0.479 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.57 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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