Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | NWST -250 SELA +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -9.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -8.6 (-3.6) | 154.0 (+3.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -7.8 (-2.8) | 151.4 (+5.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -8.8 (-3.8) | 152.7 (+4.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -8.1 (-3.1) | 154.1 (+2.9) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NWST 69 – 66 SELA |
| Dec 7, 2025 | NWST 76 – 68 SELA |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NWST 72 – 69 SELA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SELA 65 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 10, 2024 | SELA 69 – 59 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#193) | -6.5 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#117) | -0.75 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#159) | -1.23 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#112) | 0.465 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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