Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | JXST -120 QUC +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +7 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -0.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -0.5 (+7.5) | 144.3 (+0.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -0.1 (+6.9) | 141.8 (+3.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -0.5 (+6.5) | 143.6 (+1.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -0.1 (+7.1) | 144.3 (+0.7) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#274) | -2.3 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#286) | -0.04 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#276) | -0.26 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#307) | 0.493 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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