Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | STO -800 LIU +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STO +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | STO -15.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -11.4 (+3.6) | 138.9 (-3.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -11.0 (+4.0) | 140.4 (-5.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -12.3 (+2.7) | 138.8 (-3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STO -12.0 (+3.0) | 138.6 (-3.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LIU 61 – 54 STO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LIU 66 – 63 STO |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIU 62 – 59 STO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIU 70 – 60 STO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIU 63 – 60 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 1-15 |
| Home | 7-4 | 2-10 |
| Away | 6-12 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 81.9 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#327) | -20.7 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#290) | -4.08 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#312) | -5.07 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#232) | 0.370 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 18.2% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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