Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | COR -500 DART +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COR +12 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | COR -13.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (+19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -12.5 (-0.5) | 157.7 (+20.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -10.4 (+1.6) | 155.7 (+22.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -10.6 (+1.4) | 155.3 (+22.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COR -11.0 (+1.0) | 158.3 (+19.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | COR 111 – 90 DART |
| Jan 10, 2026 | DART 102 – 91 COR |
| Mar 15, 2025 | COR 87 – 71 DART |
| Feb 15, 2025 | DART 88 – 49 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 76 – 64 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#104) | -5.7 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#133) | -1.11 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#122) | -1.66 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#114) | 0.448 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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