Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -2000 UND +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -22.1 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -19.6 (-16.6) | 156.6 (-13.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -18.5 (-15.5) | 156.5 (-13.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -17.5 (-14.5) | 155.2 (-12.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -20.0 (-17.0) | 157.1 (-14.1) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UND 79 – 62 ORU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UND 72 – 61 ORU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UND 88 – 77 ORU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORU 83 – 79 UND |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UND 78 – 65 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-0 | 8-8 |
| Away | 11-4 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#32) | -7.2 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#32) | -1.20 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#39) | -1.35 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#17) | 0.431 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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