Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | KENN +230 LIB -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +7 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -4.4 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+33.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -3.5 (+10.5) | 138.2 (+30.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -3.4 (+10.4) | 138.5 (+30.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -2.5 (+9.5) | 139.6 (+29.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -2.9 (+9.9) | 140.4 (+28.6) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | KENN 74 – 65 LIB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIB 81 – 73 KENN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | LIB 81 – 79 KENN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | KENN 85 – 80 LIB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | LIB 76 – 68 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-1 | 19-1 |
| Away | 10-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 62.3 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#144) | 9.3 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#77) | 1.48 (#60) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#104) | 1.76 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#64) | 0.584 (#40) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.51 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 79.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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