Betting Lines
| Spread | TOW -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | TOW -333 DEL +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TOW +23 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | TOW -7.8 (+15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (+31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TOW -5.8 (+17.2) | 139.9 (+27.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TOW -7.7 (+15.3) | 137.5 (+29.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TOW -5.9 (+17.1) | 139.5 (+27.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TOW -5.8 (+17.2) | 140.7 (+26.3) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2025 | DEL 82 – 72 TOW |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TOW 75 – 70 DEL |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TOW 76 – 66 DEL |
| Feb 9, 2024 | DEL 74 – 62 TOW |
| Jan 27, 2024 | TOW 67 – 56 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 10-5 |
| Away | 8-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#157) | -3.6 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#152) | -0.50 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#151) | -0.54 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#172) | 0.468 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TOW | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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