Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | LR +110 USI -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +1 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -1.2 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -1.2 (+0.2) | 160.0 (+3.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -2.2 (+1.2) | 156.9 (+6.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -1.4 (+0.4) | 159.4 (+3.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USI -0.8 (-0.2) | 160.8 (+2.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LR 89 – 70 USI |
| Dec 19, 2025 | LR 77 – 62 USI |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LR 74 – 56 USI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LR 78 – 58 USI |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LR 80 – 62 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-16 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#334) | -5.2 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#345) | -0.95 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.47 (#340) | -1.19 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#352) | 0.456 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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