Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ASU -188 COLO +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | ASU -2.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -2.9 (-10.9) | 138.4 (-12.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -2.1 (-10.1) | 136.8 (-10.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -3.0 (-11.0) | 136.7 (-10.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -2.7 (-10.7) | 136.6 (-10.6) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | COLO 78 – 70 ASU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | COLO 95 – 89 ASU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ASU 70 – 68 COLO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | ASU 81 – 61 COLO |
| Feb 9, 2024 | COLO 82 – 70 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#72) | 9.1 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#64) | 0.68 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#64) | 1.19 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#68) | 0.545 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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