Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
| Money | HART +350 MRMK -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +8 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -6.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 118.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -5.8 (-2.2) | 124.3 (+1.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -5.8 (-2.2) | 125.7 (+0.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -6.6 (-1.4) | 126.9 (-0.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -5.3 (-2.7) | 121.4 (+4.6) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2021 | MRMK 75 – 60 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-23 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 12-4 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-6 |
| Away | 0-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.7 | 61.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 64.0 |
| Massey | -19.9 (#362) | -10.0 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#362) | -1.62 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.11 (#362) | -1.99 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.350 (#361) | 0.449 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 26.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 26.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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