Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Over |
| Money | MRMK -155 HART +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +15 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -5.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -4.0 (+11.0) | 129.0 (+6.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -2.9 (+12.1) | 132.9 (+2.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -4.3 (+10.7) | 131.1 (+3.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -5.6 (+9.4) | 131.0 (+4.0) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2023 | MRMK 67 – 59 HART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#224) | -1.1 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#219) | -2.70 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#275) | -4.15 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#232) | 0.404 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 26.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 16.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 11.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.7% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.