Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM -275 NOLA +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -11.1 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -9.8 (-15.8) | 144.9 (+17.1) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -9.4 (-15.4) | 145.4 (+16.6) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -8.9 (-14.9) | 146.9 (+15.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -9.3 (-15.3) | 147.3 (+14.7) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NOLA 94 – 85 ETAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NOLA 83 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 25, 2025 | ETAM 73 – 71 NOLA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NOLA 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ETAM 89 – 83 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#299) | -15.2 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#281) | -2.96 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#298) | -3.36 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#284) | 0.372 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 24.7% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 55.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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