And the only safe place to live is on an Indian reservation. "Ball of Confusion" - The Temptations
Sun Belt Conference · Atlantic Union Bank Center · February 17, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread JMU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money JMU -300 / ODU +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total JMU win
Actual JMU +9 143 Won
Massey JMU -10.4 (-1.4) — —
Massey Totals — 141.6 (+1.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 83% ✓
Baseline Plus ML JMU -8.7 (+0.3) 140.0 (+3.0) 79% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JMU -7.0 (+2.0) 139.7 (+3.3) 75% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML JMU -8.9 (+0.1) 138.9 (+4.1) 80% ✓
Baseline ML JMU -9.2 (-0.2) 139.4 (+3.6) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 10, 2026 JMU 70 – 69 ODU
Dec 18, 2025 ODU 77 – 68 JMU
Feb 1, 2025 JMU 68 – 54 ODU
Jan 23, 2025 JMU 74 – 60 ODU
Feb 3, 2024 JMU 78 – 63 ODU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings JMU ODU
Overall 22-11 19-12
Conference 12-6 11-7
Home 11-3 12-4
Away 8-6 6-5
Neutral 2-2 1-3
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.6 66.7
Avg Pts Against 70.4 66.5
Massey 6.9 (#81) 0.2 (#165)
Bradley-Terry 0.65 (#116) 0.31 (#141)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.13 (#100) 0.27 (#148)
RPI 0.535 (#116) 0.532 (#120)
Shooting & Four Factors JMU ODU
FG% 45.7% 42.6%
3PT% 34.7% 31.9%
REB / G 36.4 37.2
OREB / G 10.9 12.0
AST / TO 0.87 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 47.2%
TOV% 19.4% 16.9%
ORB% 30.6% 33.0%
FT Rate 27.6% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.2% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 22.7% 18.0%
DRB% 71.2% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 22.6%

Game Analysis

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