Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 120.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU -120 WAG +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +1 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -1.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -0.1 (+0.9) | 130.1 (-15.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -2.0 (+3.0) | 128.0 (-13.0) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -0.0 (+1.0) | 130.1 (-15.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -0.3 (+1.3) | 130.6 (-15.6) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WAG 70 – 60 CCSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CCSU 84 – 67 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CCSU 62 – 55 WAG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CCSU 55 – 48 WAG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WAG 62 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#330) | -7.8 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#352) | -1.14 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#347) | -1.60 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#331) | 0.461 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
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