Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | CCU +100 GAST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +9 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CCU -1.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -0.9 (+8.1) | 141.4 (+3.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -1.6 (+7.4) | 139.0 (+6.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -1.3 (+7.7) | 142.1 (+2.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -0.9 (+8.1) | 142.7 (+2.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | CCU 76 – 71 GAST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | GAST 89 – 71 CCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CCU 80 – 74 GAST |
| Jan 11, 2025 | GAST 79 – 74 CCU |
| Feb 22, 2024 | GAST 72 – 71 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-9 |
| Away | 3-11 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#289) | -4.6 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#265) | -1.10 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#281) | -1.19 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#274) | 0.438 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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